SignalMacro

CBOE Volatility Index $16.13 ↑ 3.6% 12th %ile (complacency) • KXINX 11.5% — 7,625 to 7,650

Kalshi: KXINX 11.5% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

What changed

CBOE Volatility Index $16.13 ↑ 3.6% 12th %ile (complacency) • KXINX 11.5% — 7,625 to 7,650 Kalshi: KXINX 11.5% — Will the S&P 500 be between 7625 and 7649.9999 on Jul 10, 2026 at 4pm EDT? Percentile: 12th in 90d range | Regime: complacency

Why it matters

Low VIX at 5th percentile signals extreme greed, with Kalshi's 2.0% probability on 7600-7625 range.

Sources

futures